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Play Politics Today - Win Real Money
What is politics betting?How to bet on politics in KenyaPolitics betting sitesPolitics betting tipsResponsible gambling
Samuel Kiprop
Written bySamuel KipropWriter

What is politics betting?

Sasa, you've probably heard about betting on sports like football, right? But did you know you can also bet on politics? Politics betting, or kubet on siasa, simply means predicting the outcome of major political events. Think of it like this: will your favorite mheshimiwa (politician) win the next election?

But it's not just about who wins the big seat. Bookies also offer odds on things like who will run for office, who will participate in debates, and even how long those debates will last! There are plenty of political betting markets to explore, so usijali (don't worry), there's something for everyone.

While some people think politics betting is a new thing, it's actually been around for a long time, especially in Western countries. It all started way back in the 16th century in Italy and the 18th century in the UK. Even in the US, before 1860, betting on politics was super common. So, mambo ya kubet on politics (the act of betting on politics) isn’t a new craze.

Is election betting legal?

Mambo? (How are things?) Yeah, election betting is legal in Kenya! The Betting Control and Licensing Board (BCLB) regulates sports betting and gambling, making it perfectly legal to weka bet (place a bet) on political outcomes. The BCLB makes sure everything is fair and above board.

To be clear, when placing bets, you need to stick to the rules set by the BCLB. This ensures you're betting safely and legally.

Even if you're in a country where betting is restricted, shwari (cool/okay), you can still bet with international bookies. Just make sure they're licensed by reputable bodies like the UK Gambling Commission (UKGC) or the Malta Gaming Authority (MGA). But here in Kenya, we've got the BCLB looking out for us!

How to bet on politics in Kenya

So, you want to try your hand at predicting who will win the next Kenyan elections? Poa (cool), many licensed bookies offer great election betting odds. Political props are like regular betting odds you find on any betting site. These political betting markets can be quite lucrative if you know your stuff.

Here are some common political props you might see:

  • Who will win the election?
  • Who will be the running mate of "X"?
  • Will candidate "X" bring in big names for support?
  • How long will the debate between X and Y last?
  • Which party will win the most votes?

Now that you know the common political betting markets, go ahead and create an account at a legal sportsbook. Sign up, claim your bonus, and pick a political event to bet on. But before you do that, learn how to read the odds – that's what we'll cover next.

Understanding election betting odds

Reading betting odds is pretty simple, mihrap. You'll usually see them in Decimal, American, or Fractional formats, depending on the bookie.

Decimal odds are common in Europe and Asia, while American odds are used in the US and Canada. Fractional odds are often seen in the UK and Ireland.

For example, a bookie might offer odds of 2.51 on the ruling party to win the election against the opposition. If you bet KSh 1,291.70 (USD $10) on the ruling party, you'd get a profit of KSh 1,949.47 (USD $15.1) if they win (KSh 1,291.70 x 2.51).

With American odds, a bookmaker might offer -150 for Raila Odinga to win the next election, while William Ruto has +150. This means you'd need to bet KSh 19,375.50 (USD $150) on Odinga to win a profit of KSh 12,917 (USD $100). A KSh 12,917 (USD $100) bet on Ruto would give you a profit of KSh 19,375.50 (USD $150). Remember, the minus (-) shows the favorite, and the plus (+) shows the underdog.

Lastly, Fractional odds (UK odds) might show 6/1 for the opposition party to win. If you bet KSh 1,291.70 (USD $10), a win would get you a profit of KSh 7,750.20 (USD $60), including your original stake. Just multiply your stake by the numerator (6) and divide by the denominator (1), then add your stake to see what you could win.

Politics betting sites

What makes a great political betting site? Here are some things to look for:

  • Licensing and regulation: Just like with any gambling site, check the license first. Make sure the site is reputable and licensed by the BCLB or another trusted organization like those CasinoRank promotes.
  • Security: A secure site should use SSL encryption to protect your data. Most of the recommended sites here have this.
  • Betting markets and odds: The best bookies offer a wide range of political betting markets with player-friendly odds. Shop around and compare the odds before you sign up.
  • Bonuses and promotions: With so many options, join a bookie that offers bonuses. The best sites give new players free bets and deposit bonuses. Loyal players should also get regular rewards.
  • Customer service: The sportsbook should offer excellent customer support via phone, email, live chat, or social media, 24/7, and in multiple languages. Test their response time with a question or two.
  • Mobile-Friendly: Given that many Kenyans access the internet via mobile, ensure the site is fully optimized for mobile devices.

Politics betting tips

Interestingly, there's no perfect strategy for political bets. But some things can help. First, do your research to understand what's really happening. News on Citizen TV might be different from what you see on KTN News. International news can also have its own slant. So, get your info from different sources.

Secondly, be careful with political pollsters. Polls can be biased depending on who's behind them. The most reliable polls show the real situation. If you can, use local pollsters, as they're often more accurate. Pay attention to who was interviewed and who conducted the poll.

Above all, set a budget and stick to it. Limiting how much you bet each day, week, or month makes losses less painful and wins even better. Remember that losses are common. And achana na mi hayo mambo (avoid) chasing losses!

Responsible gambling

Whether you're betting on politics or football, responsible gambling is key. Besides setting a spending limit, what else can you do? Set a time limit, as gambling can take up a lot of time. You could end up betting for hours until your money is gone. That can lead to addiction and even bankruptcy.

Also, don't gamble if you're under the influence of drugs or feeling depressed. Depressed players often make bad decisions. Alcohol and drugs can also cloud your judgment. Only play when you're clear-headed.

Lastly, don't try to make a living from betting. Political contests, like other forms of gambling, can be unpredictable. Investing a lot of money in betting can leave you broke and stressed. Bet small, and enjoy the experience. Remember to visit Responsible Gaming KE or call 0800 722 200 for assistance.

About the author
Samuel Kiprop
Samuel Kiprop
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Born in Nairobi, Samuel Kiprop expertly marries the world of online casinos with the pulse of Kenyan life. Fusing urban flair with cultural wisdom, he's a name to know in East African digital gaming.

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